Peak ICE?

According to Kregg Wiggins, senior vice president, Powertrain Div., North America, Continental, looking ahead, “The future of individual mobility is electric.” Meaning, the electrification of powertrains will not only continue, but accelerate.

According to Kregg Wiggins, senior vice president, Powertrain Div., North America, Continental, looking ahead, “The future of individual mobility is electric.”

Meaning, the electrification of powertrains will not only continue, but accelerate.

He says that there will be rapid growth going toward 2025, with both 48-volt hybrids and all-electric vehicles gaining significant traction.

00107948

48-volt hybrid drive system from Continental that’s used in the Renault Scenic Hybrid Assist.

Wiggins says that while the overall number of light vehicles will continue to rise, given the influx of hybrids and EVs, the number of internal combustion engines produced will peak in the 2025 to 2030 period.

This is not to suggest that ICEs will be going away, just that rather than continuing an upward projection the numbers will tail off.

On the subject of diesels, he thinks that 1.6-liter diesels and below will not be redesigned and will go out of production. But he points out that diesels are essential for many applications—such as in commercial trucking—so that while there may also be a drop off in overall numbers, they will continue to be deployed.